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    北師大在職博士網 → 經濟/管理學文選 → 正文

    經濟增長、結構調整與戰略性新興產業發展

    博士招生信息網      2014-08-24      來源:經濟管理

    ——基于多國的經濟周期核算分析

      內容提要:為了驗證中國發展戰略性新興產業的宏觀意義,本文將中國與新加坡、韓國與中國臺灣等新興工業化國家和地區進行比較研究,并借助BCA法將推動國家經濟增長的動力分解為TFP、資本因子、勞動因子與收入因子,以度量其對各國經濟增長的貢獻。本文發現,新加坡、韓國與中國臺灣等新興工業化國家和地區經濟增長的主要驅動力量在早期來自于資本因子,后期源于TFP的增長。資本因子與TFP是驅動經濟增長的最重要成份。特別是在經濟發展的后期,TFP直接帶動了總產出的增長,而資本積累與政府投資作用下降。從長期看,加快發展同時具備資本密集型與技術密集型雙重特點的戰略性新興產業確實能夠有效地兼顧好“保增長”與“調結構”的雙重目標。

      關鍵詞: BCA法  TFP  資本因子  戰略性新興產業

      【PDF閱讀全文

    來源:《經濟管理》2014年第1期 作者:渠慎寧 賀俊 呂鐵


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